
General
Renewable energy projections according to the National Renewable Energy Action Plan for Denmark
The
National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP) for Denmark was submitted
in July 2010. The target according to Annex I of Directive 2009/28/EC
is 30% for the year 2020 and the projected NREAP share in that year
exactly matches the target. According to the projection, the most
important contribution in the year 2020 is expected from biomass
(renewable heating and cooling) (2643 ktoe, 54% of all renewable
energy). Second important contribution is expected from wind power
(11.7 TWh or 1007 ktoe, 20% of all renewable energy). The third largest
contribution is from biomass (renewable electricity) (8.8 TWh or 761
ktoe, 15% of all renewable energy). Wind power contributes with 4.0 GW
(11.7 TWh) in the year 2020 (onshore wind 2.6 GW and 6.4 TWh, offshore
wind 1.3 GW and 5.3 TWh). For solar photovoltaic the 2020 contribution
is projected to be 0.0 GW (0.0 TWh). For solar thermal the 2020
contribution is projected to be 16 ktoe. The two most important
biofuels are projected to contribute 167 ktoe (biodiesel) and 94 ktoe
(bioethanol / bio-ETBE) by 2020. The renewable electricity production
from solid biomass amounts to 6.3 TWh (546 ktoe) and for biogas it is
expected to be 2.5 TWh (214 ktoe). The consumption of renewable heat is
expected to amount to 2470 ktoe for solid biomass and 165 ktoe for
biogas.
Renewable
heat: solar thermal
The
subsidies available for solar thermal from 1979-2002 and those
available under the 1997 Energy Plan likely contributed to the strong
growth in the solar thermal market. The 2001 Executive Order for Solar
Heating Obligations in New Buildings Outside District Heating Areas was
accompanied by an approximately 5% annual increase in solar thermal
heating.
The overall policy is that the majority of the national solar heating
field is well developed after 30 years of research and development
(There was 40.000 solar thermal installations in Denmark with a total
surface of 400.000 mē by 2005. Eight large solar thermal plants are
connected to district heating; the largest in Marstal is 19.000 mē).
Standard subsidies were cancelled in 2002, and will probably not return
since increasing prices for oil and natural gas more than compensate
for the missing subsidies. Therefore, only the development and
demonstration of new concepts will be funded. Some demonstration
projects of solar heating coupled to district heating have been funded,
as well as some IEA SHC Tasks including cooling projects. Existing
national solar heating and cooling programmes are energy research
programme and PSO (public service obligation). New programme is EUDP
(Energy Technological Development and Demonstration Programme).
Future
programme changes expected
Solar
thermal district heating plants will be nearly competitive with oil and
natural gas and the PSO (public service obligation) system still has
funding for them, therefore, it is expected that this sector will grow.
Similarly, the interest in small solar heating plants is increasing
despite a lack of funding. Interest in the development of solar cooling
systems is increasing. The new EUDP programme has a strong focus in
development and demonstration leading to commercialisation, therefore,
new concepts and manufacturing will be stimulated.
Sources
IEA: Renewables for Heating and Cooling, untapped potential, Renewable Energy Technology Deployment, 2008
The National Renewable Energy Action Plans (NREAPs) are all published on the Transparency Platform on Renewable Energy: http://ec.europa.eu/energy/renewables/transparency_platform/action_plan_en.htm (sourced July - December 2010)
Renewable Energy Projections as Published in the National Renewable Energy Action Plans of the European Member States, http://www.ecn.nl/nreap (sourced December 2010)
Interactive
EurObserv’ER Database
http://www.eurobserv-er.org
Last
update: March 2011